Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 2.104308 2.406969 2.739299 3.131528 3.582145 4.084051 4.686069
2025-07-20 1.625462 2.029345 2.514151 3.140092 3.928628 4.891401 6.159823
2025-07-27 1.402103 1.858328 2.440403 3.239857 4.313278 5.710294 7.675684
2025-08-03 1.211568 1.685436 2.320679 3.238223 4.536115 6.316120 8.959546
2025-08-10 1.060747 1.538323 2.206389 3.214263 4.705804 6.846691 10.179782
2025-08-17 0.932514 1.403140 2.086833 3.159011 4.810971 7.280714 11.292302
2025-08-24 0.856114 1.332654 2.049469 3.214566 5.078003 7.971359 12.860392
2025-08-31 0.790579 1.269765 2.014110 3.264724 5.335451 8.665814 14.504461
2025-09-07 0.719396 1.189223 1.940982 3.243339 5.470053 9.170156 15.883250
2025-09-14 0.650470 1.104514 1.851357 3.182732 5.528421 9.547359 17.077631
2025-09-21 0.595424 1.037098 1.782887 3.149056 5.625905 9.995418 18.438965
2025-09-28 0.545081 0.972529 1.712427 3.103237 5.694236 10.394043 19.746963
2025-10-05 0.530296 0.973656 1.764136 3.296566 6.245815 11.776925 23.180488
2025-10-12 0.488834 0.922643 1.718468 3.307921 6.464819 12.580098 25.629382
2025-10-19 0.464456 0.900413 1.722628 3.413107 6.875386 13.797654 29.075215
2025-10-26 0.429820 0.854315 1.675861 3.411387 7.069677 14.604094 31.768315
2025-11-02 0.396422 0.806873 1.621042 3.386101 7.210478 15.314154 34.346168
2025-11-09 0.363274 0.756296 1.554370 3.327791 7.272640 15.862121 36.632960
2025-11-16 0.344664 0.733940 1.543161 3.386421 7.596312 17.017218 40.479379
2025-11-23 0.327127 0.711947 1.530235 3.439355 7.912723 18.192863 44.539286
2025-11-30 0.304839 0.677222 1.486179 3.416787 8.051507 18.974381 47.741198
2025-12-07 0.281414 0.637551 1.427157 3.352825 8.084164 19.507398 50.389366
2025-12-14 0.262231 0.605613 1.382326 3.317285 8.181218 20.207538 53.570748